India’s exports fell 31 percent lower from previous year, said G.K. Pillai (Trade Secretary). He also said “March exports, we have only the provisional estimates…It is just under $12 billion”.

This is for a sixth straight month according to the latest provisional estimate for March, and are likely to extend the fall till September before recovering, the trade secretary said on Monday.

Recession in developed economies crimped demand for Indian goods and export growth slowed to 7.3 per cent in April-February to $156.6 billion from a year earlier, sharply lower from close to 20 per cent seen in 2007/08.

“This negative growth will continue up till September… Then, you will find a positive growth.”
The demand for Indian goods in Latin America and South-east Asia remains “quite high”, but it needs to pick up in US and Europe, which consume about 35 per cent of Indian exports, he said.
The final figures for 2008/09 exports is seen touching a lower revised annual target of $170 billion and may remain flat at that level in 2009/10, he said.

While exports, which make about a fifth of India’s gross domestic product, have been contracting since October, imports started falling from January as slowing demand at home cut import of capital goods and lower global crude prices slashed the fuel bill.

Pillai said India’s imports may have fallen 37 percent in March.