Archive for May 29th, 2009

Sensex surged 28.3% in May, best in 17 years

Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex, gained 28.3 percent in May 2009, its strongest monthly performance in 17 years, boosted by positive economic data and hopes for market-friendly reforms.

Energy giant Reliance Industries and state-run explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corp led the surge after the oil minister said a proposal to allow firms set retail fuel prices based on market rates would be sent to cabinet within six weeks.

The 30-share BSE index rose 329.24 points to 14,625.25, with 26 stocks advancing. It was the highest close since last Sept. 10 as it rose 5.3 percent on the week, extending a winning streak to 12 weeks in a row - the best run in four years.

Its monthly rise was behind only Russia’s RTS stocks index among major indices of the world.

The benchmark has soared 82 percent from a 2009 low in early March, and is up 52 percent this year after slumping by more than half in 2008. The rebound has been powered by more than $5.5 billion ploughed in by foreign funds over the past 2-½ months.

Investor confidence got a boost after the ruling coalition was re-elected with more seats in parliament, raising hopes for economic reforms such as reviving asset sales in state companies and opening up sectors like insurance.

A second-stage boost can come from execution of reforms. Any quick aggressive policy response will mean upside to our forecasts..

Engineering conglomerate Larsen & Toubro   and Reliance Infrastructure were among the biggest gainers in May as investors bet they would benefit as the government increases spending to improve creaking infrastructure.

The realty sector raced up 79 percent in May, helped by a jump of three-quarters in shares of top developer DLF Ltd.

Even though there are concerns the market may have become expensive, analysts said the mix of a stable government, the prospect of reforms such as divestments, signs of green shoots in the economy and improving corporate results will continue to attract investments from cash-flush funds.

Reliance Industries, which has the most weight in the main index, gained 2.6 percent on Friday to 2,277.50 rupees, nearly doubling its market value since early March.

L&T rose 4.8 percent to 1,405.60 rupees, a day after it reported better-than-expected results and forecast robust orders. The stock advanced 60 percent on the month, while rival Reliance Infrastructure rocketed up 84 percent.

The banking sector, which includes top lender State Bank of India and private-sector rival ICICI Bank, put on 45.3 percent in May on expectations of loan growth and reduced risk of defaults.

Top telecoms firm Bharti Airtel climbed 3.1 percent to 819.65 rupees, raising for a second day after falling more than 10 percent over three sessions following news of its merger talks with South Africa’s MTN.

In the broader market, gainers led losers by more than 3 to 1 on relatively heavy volume of 688.3 million shares.

The 50-share NSE index rose 2.6 percent to 4,448.95, taking its gains for the month to 28 percent.

Top 3 stocks traded (By Volume)

- Unitech on 32.2 million shares.

- Suzlon Energy on 25.1 million shares.

- Reliance Natural Resources on 21.2 million shares .

FII and DII Activity on Friday, May 29, 2009

FII and DII activity that was seen on Friday, May 29, 2009 is shown below. The report shows that FII were net buyer of Rs 272.77 crore where as DII saw buying of Rs 873 crore.

 

 

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)

Category

Date

Buy Value

Sell Value

Net Value

FII

29-May-2009

5537.57

5264.8

272.77

 

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)

Category

Date

Buy Value

Sell Value

Net Value

DII

29-May-2009

2549.55

1676.55

873

 

 

India Q4 GDP declared at 5.8, FY09 GDP at 6.7

India’s GDP for fourth quarter has been declared. India’s economy grew a faster than expected 5.8 percent in the March quarter from a year earlier.


The annual growth for India’s fiscal fourth quarter was above the expectations, but sharply lower than the year-ago quarter’s 8.6 percent expansion.

The manufacturing sector contracted 1.4 percent in the January-March quarter from a year earlier, while farm output grew an annual 2.7 percent, government data showed on Friday.

For the full year, India’s GDP came out to be 6.7 percent in 2008/09, sharply slower than the 9.0 or more in the previous three years. The FY09 GDP projection was 7.1%

Farm sector growth has been revised to 1.6% vs 2.6% earlier.

 

Advice for – Friday, May 29, 2009

 

Yesterday: As we predicted, Indian Stock Market went up as it holds level of 14000 but profit booking came at higher level and sensex closed up by 180 points.

 

Today: We expect flat positive opening and it would be very interesting to see whether nifty would break it’s major resistance at around 4377-4380. If it breaks it decisively than we may see a level of 4400-4450 on the Nifty.

 

Note: Stocks to trade for intraday, short-term delivery, long term delivery, short selling and Futures and when to exit those stocks would be sent to paid subscribers live during the market hours through SMS.

 

BSE Sensex: (14296) The support for the sensex is 14000 n resistance on the up move is 14500.          

                       

NSE Nifty: (4337) the support for the Nifty is at 4280 and the resistance to the up move is at 4380

 

Today’s Result:

 

Arvind, Lanco Infra, Tata Motors, Voltas, Indian Oil, IVRCL Infra, BOI, Colgate