Sensex and Nifty 50 may open flat on Monday as overnight global cues remain weak and investors stay cautious.

Asian markets showed a mixed trend in early trade, while US stocks closed lower on Friday, with the S&P 500 posting its sharpest daily decline in over two months.

This week, investors will closely monitor several key triggers such as the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decision, updates on the India-US trade deal, Q1 earnings, IPO activity, foreign fund flows, and movements in gold and crude oil prices.

However, on Friday, Indian equities closed in the red, dragged down by broad-based selling on the first session of the August derivatives series, as US tariff concerns weighed on sentiment.

Domestic Market Recap

On Friday, Indian indices closed in the red:

• Sensex slumped by 585.67points (0.72%) to close at 80,599.91
• Nifty 50 moved down by 203 points (0.82%) to settle at 24,565.35

Gift Nifty

Gift Nifty was trading near 24,686, around 58 points higher than the previous Nifty futures close, hinting at a positive start for Indian markets.

Overnight Wall Street Performance

The US stock market closed lower on Friday as fresh tariffs on multiple trading partners and a weaker-than-expected jobs report triggered broad-based selling.

• Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped by 542.40 points (1.23%) to close at 43,588.58.
• S&P 500 down by 101.38 points (1.60%), ending at 6,238.01.
• The Nasdaq Composite was trading lower by 472.32 points (2.24%), finishing at 20,650.13.

Gold Prices

• Spot gold was trading down by 0.3% at $3,351.80/oz 
• US gold futures gained by 0.2% at $3,404.80

Crude Oil Prices

• Brent crude slumped by 0.42% to $69.38/barrel
• US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading 0.2% higher at $67.07/barrel

Overnight Major Global Events Driving Sentiment

1. GST Collection: India’s gross GST collection rose by 7.5% year-on-year to Rs 1.96 lakh crore in July, driven by higher domestic revenue and increased tax receipts from imports. In comparison, the GST mop-up stood at Rs 1.82 lakh crore in July 2024 and Rs 1.84 lakh crore in June 2025.
2. OPEC Output Raise: OPEC decided to boost oil production by 547,000 barrels per day for September. This move effectively reverses its largest round of output cuts ahead of schedule and includes an additional increase for the UAE, adding up to a total output hike of around 2.5 million barrels per day or 2.4% of global demand.
3. US Unemployment Rate: The US unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% in July, according to the Labour Department, as household employment declined sharply. The data suggested that the labour market is cooling more than expected.
4. US Non-Farm Payrolls: US employers added just 73,000 jobs in July, following a sharply revised gain of only 14,000 jobs in June, the weakest two-month showing in nearly five years.

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