Shares of aluminium and metals producers surged on news that the Biden administration is considering banning Rusal in response to Russia’s military escalation in Ukraine.
So far, metal products from Russia have been exempt from sanctions because of their importance in everything from cars and skyscrapers to iPhones. The White House is considering three options: an outright ban, raising tariffs to punitive levels sufficient to enforce an effective ban or sanctioning US metals manufacturing company United Co. Rusal International PJSC, according to people familiar with the matter.
The move will have wide-ranging ramifications for the global aluminium trading market and could force consumers in the US and other countries to rush to find alternative metals. Russia accounts for 5% of global aluminium production.
Aluminium prices traded on the London Metal Exchange surged 7.3% – one of the biggest intraday moves on record – before closing 3.1% at $2,305 a tonne, while Alcoa, the largest US producer, rose 7.3%. Shares of the company closed 5.3% after rising 8.6% in New York trading. Other primary metals on the LME were mixed, with copper down 0.7% and nickel up 1%.
Copper prices fell after two days of gains as global recession fears intensified and Chinese demand for the metal showed signs of weakening further.
Industrial metals, often seen as a barometer of the global economy, were dragged down by the Federal Reserve’s relentless rate hikes and are down about 30% from their March peak.
Minutes of Fed officials’ September meeting showed they were committed to raising interest rates to restrictive levels in the near term and keeping them there to bring inflation back to target, although several officials said they were “calibrating” rate hikes. Important to reduce risk. This offers hope for a dovish stance from the Fed going forward.
In China, spot copper contracts traded below local futures prices for the first time in more than two weeks, according to broker Everbright Futures, suggesting cautious buyers. There were further signs that Beijing intends to stick to its zero covid policy, denting expectations that economic weakness will push the government to end or ease restrictions later this year.
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Jia Zheng, a trader at Shanghai Soochow Jiuying Investment Management Co, said China’s copper supply has been under extreme pressure as the virus has curbed the retention of some metals at smelters or in transit. The spread between the latest two contracts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange has widened to more than 1,000 yuan ($139.43) a tonne, the widest since 2007, signalling tight supplies.
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